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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

B League Japan
NagasakiHOME · -
91 : 822023.10.08 · 종료
ChibaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME23.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY77.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK AWAY 77.4% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +77.0%
VALUE EDGE+77.0%
FAIR ODDS1.30
GRADEA
NagasakiAnalysis MetricsChiba
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-1.33 Point MarginHigher is better -3.50
166.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 181.83
40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 75.0%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
23.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
77.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Nagasaki
Collecting Data
Chiba
L · 73-88W · 93-62W · 89-66W · 96-91W · 98-69

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.10.27Nagasaki75 : 79Chiba
2024.10.26Nagasaki50 : 82Chiba
2023.10.09Nagasaki89 : 86Chiba
2023.10.08Nagasaki91 : 82Chiba