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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A2 Women - South Italy · Serie A2 Women - South - Final
Valdarno WHOME · -
65 : 622022.05.29 · 종료
Umbertide WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME80.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY19.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 82.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +80.9%
VALUE EDGE+80.9%
FAIR ODDS1.24
GRADEA
Valdarno WAnalysis MetricsUmbertide W
100.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
+15.42 Point MarginHigher is better -4.25
119.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 127.92
100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
10.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
80.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
19.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Valdarno W
W · 58-72W · 65-49W · 43-63W · 49-46W · 64-66
Umbertide W
W · 68-63L · 74-66W · 82-65W · 66-75W · 54-43

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.06.02Umbertide W59 : 66Valdarno W
2022.05.29Valdarno W65 : 62Umbertide W
2022.04.21Umbertide W59 : 61Valdarno W
2021.11.28Valdarno W62 : 55Umbertide W