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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A2 Women - South Italy · Serie A2 Women - South - Semi-finals
Valdarno WHOME · -
65 : 492022.05.15 · 종료
Vigarano WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME78.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY21.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 77.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +78.8%
VALUE EDGE+78.8%
FAIR ODDS1.27
GRADEA
Valdarno WAnalysis MetricsVigarano W
100.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+14.33 Point MarginHigher is better -5.50
120.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 126.17
100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
10.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 10.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
78.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
21.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Valdarno W
W · 43-63W · 49-46W · 64-66W · 59-61W · 68-46
Vigarano W
W · 82-57W · 72-64L · 73-59W · 72-66W · 69-66

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.05.19Vigarano W58 : 72Valdarno W
2022.05.15Valdarno W65 : 49Vigarano W
2022.02.07Vigarano W51 : 88Valdarno W
2021.10.24Valdarno W76 : 62Vigarano W