Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Serie A2 Women - South
Italy · Serie A2 Women - South - Semi-finals

Valdarno WHOME · -
65 : 492022.05.15 · 종료
Vigarano WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME78.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY21.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+78.8%
VALUE EDGE+78.8%
FAIR ODDS1.27
GRADEA
Valdarno WAnalysis MetricsVigarano W
100.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+14.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.50
120.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
126.17
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
10.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
10.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Valdarno W
W · 43-63W · 49-46W · 64-66W · 59-61W · 68-46
Vigarano W
W · 82-57W · 72-64L · 73-59W · 72-66W · 69-66
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022.05.19 | Vigarano W | 58 : 72 | Valdarno W |
| 2022.05.15 | Valdarno W | 65 : 49 | Vigarano W |
| 2022.02.07 | Vigarano W | 51 : 88 | Valdarno W |
| 2021.10.24 | Valdarno W | 76 : 62 | Vigarano W |