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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A2 Women - South Italy · Serie A2 Women - South - Quarter-finals
Cagliari WHOME · -
43 : 632022.05.05 · 종료
Valdarno WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME21.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY78.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK AWAY 77.8% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +78.3%
VALUE EDGE+78.3%
FAIR ODDS1.28
GRADES
Cagliari WAnalysis MetricsValdarno W
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 100.0%
-5.25 Point MarginHigher is better +14.00
126.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 121.50
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 100.0%
4.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
21.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
78.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Cagliari W
L · 49-46W · 60-54L · 58-75L · 55-49W · 48-52
Valdarno W
W · 49-46W · 64-66W · 59-61W · 68-46W · 30-73

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.05.05Cagliari W43 : 63Valdarno W
2022.05.01Valdarno W49 : 46Cagliari W
2022.02.27Valdarno W78 : 52Cagliari W
2021.12.02Cagliari W48 : 58Valdarno W