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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A2 Women - South Italy · Serie A2 Women - South - Quarter-finals
Valdarno WHOME · -
49 : 462022.05.01 · 종료
Cagliari WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME83.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY16.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 82.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +83.5%
VALUE EDGE+83.5%
FAIR ODDS1.20
GRADEA
Valdarno WAnalysis MetricsCagliari W
100.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
+15.42 Point MarginHigher is better -5.25
122.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 126.25
100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
83.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
16.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Valdarno W
W · 64-66W · 59-61W · 68-46W · 30-73W · 64-71
Cagliari W
W · 60-54L · 58-75L · 55-49W · 48-52L · 59-69

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.05.05Cagliari W43 : 63Valdarno W
2022.05.01Valdarno W49 : 46Cagliari W
2022.02.27Valdarno W78 : 52Cagliari W
2021.12.02Cagliari W48 : 58Valdarno W