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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A2 Women - South Italy · 26
Civitanova Marche WHOME · -
52 : 822022.04.24 · 종료
Spezia WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME20.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY79.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK AWAY 77.8% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +79.4%
VALUE EDGE+79.4%
FAIR ODDS1.26
GRADEA
Civitanova Marche WAnalysis MetricsSpezia W
8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
-8.33 Point MarginHigher is better +6.83
125.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 124.67
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 83.3%
3.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
20.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
79.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Civitanova Marche W
W · 64-62L · 68-46L · 48-52L · 72-76L · 54-51
Spezia W
W · 62-61W · 58-80W · 53-49W · 49-78W · 54-49

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.04.24Civitanova Marche W52 : 82Spezia W
2022.01.17Spezia W66 : 49Civitanova Marche W