Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Serie A2 Women - South Italy · 21

Umbertide WHOME · -

59 : 612022.04.21 · 종료

Valdarno WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME47.9%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY52.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK AWAY 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +52.1%

VALUE EDGE+52.1%

FAIR ODDS1.92

GRADEA

Umbertide WAnalysis MetricsValdarno W

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 100.0%

-4.25 Point MarginHigher is better +15.50

127.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 120.33

33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 100.0%

3.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement11.8 / 15

Prediction separation1.8 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

47.9%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

52.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Umbertide W

W · 77-56L · 60-55W · 69-67W · 68-70W · 55-62

Valdarno W

W · 68-46W · 30-73W · 64-71W · 46-73W · 84-62

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2022.06.02	Umbertide W	59 : 66	Valdarno W
2022.05.29	Valdarno W	65 : 62	Umbertide W
2022.04.21	Umbertide W	59 : 61	Valdarno W
2021.11.28	Valdarno W	62 : 55	Umbertide W