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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A2 Women - South Italy · 25
Umbertide WHOME · -
77 : 562022.04.17 · 종료
Battipaglia WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME75.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY24.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK HOME 77.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +75.1%
VALUE EDGE+75.1%
FAIR ODDS1.33
GRADES
Umbertide WAnalysis MetricsBattipaglia W
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
-4.25 Point MarginHigher is better -16.42
127.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 132.92
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
6.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
75.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
24.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Umbertide W
L · 60-55W · 69-67W · 68-70W · 55-62L · 66-56
Battipaglia W
L · 53-49W · 73-48L · 61-40W · 66-57W · 47-50

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.02.26Battipaglia W50 : 75Umbertide W
2022.11.21Umbertide W65 : 62Battipaglia W
2022.04.17Umbertide W77 : 56Battipaglia W
2015.03.09Battipaglia W57 : 79Umbertide W
2014.11.24Umbertide W64 : 55Battipaglia W