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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A2 Women - South Italy · 24
Vigarano WHOME · -
72 : 662022.04.10 · 종료
Nico Basket WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME78.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY21.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 77.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +78.6%
VALUE EDGE+78.6%
FAIR ODDS1.27
GRADEA
Vigarano WAnalysis MetricsNico Basket W
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
-5.50 Point MarginHigher is better -12.83
126.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 116.83
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 14.3%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
78.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
21.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Vigarano W
W · 69-66W · 72-76W · 72-63W · 73-76W · 66-56
Nico Basket W
L · 73-48L · 54-67L · 84-65L · 63-73L · 42-71

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.04.10Vigarano W72 : 66Nico Basket W
2021.12.19Nico Basket W77 : 90Vigarano W