Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Serie A2 Women - South Italy · 24

Matelica WHOME · -

77 : 672022.04.10 · 종료

Firenze WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME52.1%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY47.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +52.1%

VALUE EDGE+52.1%

FAIR ODDS1.92

GRADEA

Matelica WAnalysis MetricsFirenze W

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 75.0%

-5.33 Point MarginHigher is better +6.58

129.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 125.92

50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 83.3%

6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement8.0 / 15

Prediction separation1.8 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

52.1%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

47.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Matelica W

L · 69-67L · 54-49W · 54-51L · 73-76W · 73-56

Firenze W

L · 84-62W · 82-64W · 52-55L · 55-62W · 40-63

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.02.27	Firenze W	73 : 62	Matelica W
2022.11.20	Matelica W	69 : 83	Firenze W
2022.04.10	Matelica W	77 : 67	Firenze W
2021.12.20	Firenze W	72 : 45	Matelica W