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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A2 Women - South Italy · 23
Cagliari WHOME · -
49 : 782022.04.03 · 종료
Spezia WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME47.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY52.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +52.8%
VALUE EDGE+52.8%
FAIR ODDS1.89
GRADEA
Cagliari WAnalysis MetricsSpezia W
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
-5.25 Point MarginHigher is better +6.83
126.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 124.67
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 83.3%
6.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.1 / 15
Prediction separation2.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
47.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
52.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Cagliari W
W · 54-67W · 65-49L · 78-52W · 53-48L · 78-62
Spezia W
W · 54-49L · 72-63W · 86-58W · 64-76W · 66-54

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.04.13Cagliari W54 : 65Spezia W
2022.12.04Spezia W77 : 36Cagliari W
2022.04.03Cagliari W49 : 78Spezia W
2021.12.12Spezia W67 : 51Cagliari W