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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A2 Women - South Italy · 22
Civitanova Marche WHOME · -
72 : 762022.03.28 · 종료
Vigarano WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME35.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY64.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK AWAY 58.6% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +64.8%
VALUE EDGE+64.8%
FAIR ODDS1.54
GRADEA
Civitanova Marche WAnalysis MetricsVigarano W
8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-10.50 Point MarginHigher is better -5.50
124.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 126.17
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
7.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation12.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
35.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
64.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Civitanova Marche W
L · 54-51L · 86-63L · 83-77L · 65-58L · 57-63
Vigarano W
W · 72-63W · 73-76W · 66-56L · 63-47W · 69-48

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.03.28Civitanova Marche W72 : 76Vigarano W
2021.12.05Vigarano W71 : 61Civitanova Marche W