Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Serie A2 Women - South Italy · 21

Vigarano WHOME · -

72 : 632022.03.20 · 종료

Spezia WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME39.3%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY60.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK AWAY 58.6% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +60.7%

VALUE EDGE+60.7%

FAIR ODDS1.65

GRADEA

Vigarano WAnalysis MetricsSpezia W

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%

-5.50 Point MarginHigher is better +6.83

126.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 124.67

50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 83.3%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.9 / 15

Prediction separation9.2 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

39.3%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

60.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Vigarano W

W · 73-76W · 66-56L · 63-47W · 69-48L · 53-48

Spezia W

W · 86-58W · 64-76W · 66-54L · 77-63W · 81-52

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.04.17	Vigarano W	56 : 88	Spezia W
2023.01.09	Spezia W	79 : 61	Vigarano W
2022.03.20	Vigarano W	72 : 63	Spezia W
2021.11.29	Spezia W	80 : 59	Vigarano W