Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Serie A2 Women - South Italy · 20

Firenze WHOME · -

55 : 622022.03.14 · 종료

Umbertide WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME69.9%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY30.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 67.4% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +69.9%

VALUE EDGE+69.9%

FAIR ODDS1.43

GRADEA

Firenze WAnalysis MetricsUmbertide W

75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

+6.58 Point MarginHigher is better -4.25

125.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 127.92

66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%

14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.7 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

69.9%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

30.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Firenze W

W · 40-63W · 67-42W · 74-52L · 50-47L · 58-72

Umbertide W

L · 66-56W · 76-67L · 66-54W · 78-62W · 67-54

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.04.17	Umbertide W	62 : 72	Firenze W
2023.01.09	Firenze W	62 : 48	Umbertide W
2022.03.14	Firenze W	55 : 62	Umbertide W
2021.11.22	Umbertide W	59 : 60	Firenze W