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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A2 Women - South Italy · 12
Matelica WHOME · -
73 : 562022.03.06 · 종료
Capri WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME63.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY36.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 58.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +63.7%
VALUE EDGE+63.7%
FAIR ODDS1.57
GRADEB
Matelica WAnalysis MetricsCapri W
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-5.33 Point MarginHigher is better -0.42
129.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 128.75
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
6.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

65/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.2 / 15
Prediction separation11.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
63.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
36.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Matelica W
W · 42-71W · 64-49L · 68-57W · 54-62L · 78-62
Capri W
L · 64-76W · 59-67L · 61-66W · 62-84W · 67-70

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.04.17Capri W57 : 79Matelica W
2022.03.06Matelica W73 : 56Capri W