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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A2 Women - South Italy · 18
Spezia WHOME · -
66 : 542022.02.21 · 종료
Umbertide WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME69.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY30.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 67.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +69.7%
VALUE EDGE+69.7%
FAIR ODDS1.43
GRADEA
Spezia WAnalysis MetricsUmbertide W
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
+6.83 Point MarginHigher is better -4.25
124.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 127.92
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
7.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
69.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
30.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Spezia W
L · 77-63W · 81-52W · 58-72W · 66-49L · 54-52
Umbertide W
W · 78-62W · 67-54W · 55-71W · 90-69W · 77-48

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.03.23Umbertide W67 : 72Spezia W
2022.11.07Spezia W58 : 44Umbertide W
2022.02.21Spezia W66 : 54Umbertide W
2021.11.08Umbertide W82 : 79Spezia W