Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Serie A2 Women - South
Italy · Serie A2 Women - South - Final
Cagliari WHOME · -
78 : 672023.05.10 · 종료
Vigarano WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME58.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY41.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 53.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+58.4%
VALUE EDGE+58.4%
FAIR ODDS1.71
GRADEA
Cagliari WAnalysis MetricsVigarano W
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-5.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-7.25
122.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
126.58
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
4.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.3 / 15
Prediction separation7.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Cagliari W
L · 69-56L · 49-57L · 48-63L · 54-65W · 50-73
Vigarano W
W · 69-56L · 59-46L · 68-72W · 58-64L · 56-88
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.05.13 | Vigarano W | 68 : 63 | Cagliari W |
| 2023.05.10 | Cagliari W | 78 : 67 | Vigarano W |
| 2023.05.06 | Vigarano W | 69 : 56 | Cagliari W |
| 2023.01.22 | Cagliari W | 67 : 57 | Vigarano W |
| 2022.10.16 | Vigarano W | 69 : 44 | Cagliari W |
| 2022.02.20 | Cagliari W | 53 : 48 | Vigarano W |
| 2021.11.07 | Vigarano W | 55 : 62 | Cagliari W |
| 2015.03.29 | Vigarano W | 79 : 81 | Cagliari W |
| 2014.12.21 | Cagliari W | 72 : 92 | Vigarano W |