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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A2 Women - South Italy · Serie A2 Women - South - Semi-finals
Spezia WHOME · -
61 : 692023.05.08 · 종료
Battipaglia WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME59.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY40.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 53.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +59.4%
VALUE EDGE+59.4%
FAIR ODDS1.68
GRADEA
Spezia WAnalysis MetricsBattipaglia W
75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
+7.58 Point MarginHigher is better -16.42
123.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 132.92
60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
10.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 11.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.6 / 15
Prediction separation8.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
59.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
40.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Spezia W
W · 52-61W · 51-44W · 56-88W · 54-65L · 67-71
Battipaglia W
W · 50-68W · 82-42W · 45-53W · 73-49W · 71-76

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.05.11Battipaglia W72 : 56Spezia W
2023.05.08Spezia W61 : 69Battipaglia W
2023.01.23Battipaglia W59 : 85Spezia W
2022.10.17Spezia W68 : 63Battipaglia W
2022.04.11Spezia W53 : 49Battipaglia W
2021.12.20Battipaglia W54 : 52Spezia W