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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A2 Women - South Italy · Serie A2 Women - South - Semi-finals
Vigarano WHOME · -
68 : 722023.04.26 · 종료
Roma-Nord WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME66.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY33.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK HOME 67.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +66.5%
VALUE EDGE+66.5%
FAIR ODDS1.50
GRADEA
Vigarano WAnalysis MetricsRoma-Nord W
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
-7.83 Point MarginHigher is better -7.58
127.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 107.58
60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
3.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.5 / 15
Prediction separation14.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
66.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
33.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Vigarano W
W · 58-64L · 56-88L · 73-49L · 78-72W · 59-56
Roma-Nord W
L · 58-64L · 0-20L · 56-45L · 39-72L · 59-56

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.04.30Roma-Nord W59 : 46Vigarano W
2023.04.26Vigarano W68 : 72Roma-Nord W
2023.04.23Roma-Nord W58 : 64Vigarano W
2023.03.26Vigarano W59 : 56Roma-Nord W
2022.12.11Roma-Nord W74 : 67Vigarano W