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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A2 Women - South Italy · Serie A2 Women - South - Semi-finals
Roma-Nord WHOME · -
58 : 642023.04.23 · 종료
Vigarano WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME62.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY37.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK HOME 57.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +62.9%
VALUE EDGE+62.9%
FAIR ODDS1.59
GRADEA
Roma-Nord WAnalysis MetricsVigarano W
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-6.75 Point MarginHigher is better -8.67
109.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 128.50
40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.4 / 15
Prediction separation11.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
62.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
37.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Roma-Nord W
L · 0-20L · 56-45L · 39-72L · 59-56L · 76-51
Vigarano W
L · 56-88L · 73-49L · 78-72W · 59-56W · 48-53

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.04.30Roma-Nord W59 : 46Vigarano W
2023.04.26Vigarano W68 : 72Roma-Nord W
2023.04.23Roma-Nord W58 : 64Vigarano W
2023.03.26Vigarano W59 : 56Roma-Nord W
2022.12.11Roma-Nord W74 : 67Vigarano W