Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Serie A2 Women - South Italy · Serie A2 Women - South - Quarter-finals

Spezia WHOME · -

51 : 442023.04.22 · 종료

San Salvatore Selargius WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME74.6%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY25.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 73.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +74.6%

VALUE EDGE+74.6%

FAIR ODDS1.34

GRADEA

Spezia WAnalysis MetricsSan Salvatore Selargius W

66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

+6.33 Point MarginHigher is better -0.33

126.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 107.83

40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%

5.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement12.2 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

74.6%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

25.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Spezia W

W · 56-88W · 54-65L · 67-71W · 48-50W · 67-72

San Salvatore Selargius W

W · 0-20L · 50-73L · 74-49W · 78-43W · 58-62

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.04.27	San Salvatore Selargius W	52 : 61	Spezia W
2023.04.22	Spezia W	51 : 44	San Salvatore Selargius W
2023.01.30	San Salvatore Selargius W	55 : 56	Spezia W
2022.10.22	Spezia W	63 : 49	San Salvatore Selargius W
2021.10.09	San Salvatore Selargius W	77 : 63	Spezia W