Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Serie A2 Women - South
Italy · 26
Umbertide WHOME · -
62 : 722023.04.17 · 종료
Firenze WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME38.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY61.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+61.4%
VALUE EDGE+61.4%
FAIR ODDS1.63
GRADEA
Umbertide WAnalysis MetricsFirenze W
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
-3.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+7.25
126.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
126.25
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
80.0%
11.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
10.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.5 / 15
Prediction separation9.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Umbertide W
L · 57-51W · 78-72L · 81-61L · 67-72L · 52-76
Firenze W
W · 64-55W · 39-72L · 55-64W · 57-58W · 73-62
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.17 | Umbertide W | 62 : 72 | Firenze W |
| 2023.01.09 | Firenze W | 62 : 48 | Umbertide W |
| 2022.03.14 | Firenze W | 55 : 62 | Umbertide W |
| 2021.11.22 | Umbertide W | 59 : 60 | Firenze W |