Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Serie A2 Women - South Italy · 25

Matelica WHOME · -

57 : 512023.04.06 · 종료

Umbertide WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME58.3%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY41.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 53.3% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +58.3%

VALUE EDGE+58.3%

FAIR ODDS1.71

GRADEB

Matelica WAnalysis MetricsUmbertide W

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

-4.92 Point MarginHigher is better -3.58

130.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 128.92

40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%

4.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement9.0 / 15

Prediction separation7.1 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

58.3%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

41.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Matelica W

W · 58-69W · 75-61L · 62-71L · 73-62W · 65-75

Umbertide W

W · 78-72L · 81-61L · 67-72L · 52-76L · 64-50

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.04.06	Matelica W	57 : 51	Umbertide W
2022.12.22	Umbertide W	49 : 74	Matelica W
2022.04.04	Umbertide W	69 : 67	Matelica W
2021.12.12	Matelica W	49 : 56	Umbertide W