Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Serie A2 Women - South Italy · 18

Umbertide WHOME · -

67 : 722023.03.23 · 종료

Spezia WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME26.8%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY73.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK AWAY 73.1% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +73.2%

VALUE EDGE+73.2%

FAIR ODDS1.37

GRADEA

Umbertide WAnalysis MetricsSpezia W

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%

-3.67 Point MarginHigher is better +6.50

126.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 122.33

50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 83.3%

3.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 10.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.7 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

26.8%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

73.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Umbertide W

L · 52-76L · 64-50W · 50-75W · 60-54L · 67-56

Spezia W

W · 77-57W · 75-39L · 66-78W · 55-56W · 59-85

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.03.23	Umbertide W	67 : 72	Spezia W
2022.11.07	Spezia W	58 : 44	Umbertide W
2022.02.21	Spezia W	66 : 54	Umbertide W
2021.11.08	Umbertide W	82 : 79	Spezia W