Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Serie A2 Women - South
Italy · 21
Cagliari WHOME · -
57 : 582023.03.12 · 종료
Firenze WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME34.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY66.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 67.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+66.0%
VALUE EDGE+66.0%
FAIR ODDS1.51
GRADEA
Cagliari WAnalysis MetricsFirenze W
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
-4.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+8.00
124.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
127.83
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
80.0%
13.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
13.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.2 / 15
Prediction separation13.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Cagliari W
W · 68-74W · 55-44L · 40-51L · 59-54W · 67-57
Firenze W
W · 73-62W · 78-60W · 56-59L · 67-61W · 81-70
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.03.12 | Cagliari W | 57 : 58 | Firenze W |
| 2022.11.27 | Firenze W | 61 : 50 | Cagliari W |
| 2022.04.17 | Firenze W | 55 : 49 | Cagliari W |
| 2022.01.09 | Cagliari W | 51 : 43 | Firenze W |