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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A2 Women - South Italy · 20
Firenze WHOME · -
73 : 622023.02.27 · 종료
Matelica WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME58.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY41.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 53.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +58.5%
VALUE EDGE+58.5%
FAIR ODDS1.71
GRADEA
Firenze WAnalysis MetricsMatelica W
75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
+7.17 Point MarginHigher is better -3.50
126.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 128.33
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.9 / 15
Prediction separation7.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
58.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
41.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Firenze W
W · 78-60W · 56-59L · 67-61W · 81-70L · 73-52
Matelica W
W · 65-75L · 62-93L · 72-68W · 65-44W · 58-69

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.02.27Firenze W73 : 62Matelica W
2022.11.20Matelica W69 : 83Firenze W
2022.04.10Matelica W77 : 67Firenze W
2021.12.20Firenze W72 : 45Matelica W