Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Serie A2 Women - South
Italy · 20

Firenze WHOME · -
73 : 622023.02.27 · 종료
Matelica WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME58.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY41.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 53.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+58.5%
VALUE EDGE+58.5%
FAIR ODDS1.71
GRADEA
Firenze WAnalysis MetricsMatelica W
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+7.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.50
126.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
128.33
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.9 / 15
Prediction separation7.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Firenze W
W · 78-60W · 56-59L · 67-61W · 81-70L · 73-52
Matelica W
W · 65-75L · 62-93L · 72-68W · 65-44W · 58-69
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.02.27 | Firenze W | 73 : 62 | Matelica W |
| 2022.11.20 | Matelica W | 69 : 83 | Firenze W |
| 2022.04.10 | Matelica W | 77 : 67 | Firenze W |
| 2021.12.20 | Firenze W | 72 : 45 | Matelica W |