Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Serie A2 Women - South Italy · 19

Umbertide WHOME · -

60 : 542023.02.20 · 종료

Savona WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME60.8%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY39.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 57.7% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +60.8%

VALUE EDGE+60.8%

FAIR ODDS1.64

GRADEB

Umbertide WAnalysis MetricsSavona W

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

-4.58 Point MarginHigher is better -8.00

128.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 122.83

33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%

14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement8.1 / 15

Prediction separation9.3 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

60.8%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

39.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Umbertide W

L · 67-56L · 75-77W · 51-55W · 61-59L · 62-48

Savona W

L · 56-59L · 64-79W · 59-54W · 58-60W · 66-47

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.02.20	Umbertide W	60 : 54	Savona W
2022.11.14	Savona W	62 : 65	Umbertide W
2022.04.11	Savona W	60 : 55	Umbertide W
2021.12.20	Umbertide W	77 : 48	Savona W