Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Serie A2 Women - South
Italy · 16
Umbertide WHOME · -
75 : 772023.01.30 · 종료
Roseto WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME73.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY26.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+73.5%
VALUE EDGE+73.5%
FAIR ODDS1.36
GRADEA
Umbertide WAnalysis MetricsRoseto W
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-3.92
Point MarginHigher is better
-13.83
125.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
135.83
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
8.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Umbertide W
W · 51-55W · 61-59L · 62-48L · 49-74W · 58-61
Roseto W
L · 57-76L · 78-64L · 70-77L · 38-70W · 49-56
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.01.30 | Umbertide W | 75 : 77 | Roseto W |
| 2022.10.24 | Roseto W | 69 : 61 | Umbertide W |