Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Serie A2 Women - South
Italy · 16

Vigarano WHOME · -
72 : 682023.01.29 · 종료
Matelica WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME42.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY57.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 53.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+57.5%
VALUE EDGE+57.5%
FAIR ODDS1.74
GRADEB
Vigarano WAnalysis MetricsMatelica W
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-5.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.08
126.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
127.92
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.8 / 15
Prediction separation6.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Vigarano W
L · 67-57W · 78-64L · 79-61L · 58-75L · 58-61
Matelica W
W · 65-44W · 58-69L · 64-68W · 49-74W · 63-47
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.01.29 | Vigarano W | 72 : 68 | Matelica W |
| 2022.10.23 | Matelica W | 82 : 66 | Vigarano W |
| 2022.03.13 | Matelica W | 73 : 76 | Vigarano W |
| 2021.11.21 | Vigarano W | 61 : 54 | Matelica W |