Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Serie A2 Women - South
Italy · 14
Spezia WHOME · -
58 : 692023.01.15 · 종료
Matelica WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME67.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY32.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+67.9%
VALUE EDGE+67.9%
FAIR ODDS1.47
GRADEA
Spezia WAnalysis MetricsMatelica W
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+6.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.33
124.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
129.00
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
6.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Spezia W
W · 79-61W · 38-70L · 70-51W · 70-63W · 77-36
Matelica W
L · 64-68W · 49-74W · 63-47W · 84-85W · 82-58
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.01.15 | Spezia W | 58 : 69 | Matelica W |
| 2022.10.09 | Matelica W | 55 : 53 | Spezia W |
| 2022.03.28 | Spezia W | 54 : 49 | Matelica W |
| 2021.12.05 | Matelica W | 53 : 59 | Spezia W |