Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Serie A2 Women - South
Italy · 13
Spezia WHOME · -
79 : 612023.01.09 · 종료
Vigarano WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME79.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY20.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+79.8%
VALUE EDGE+79.8%
FAIR ODDS1.25
GRADEA
Spezia WAnalysis MetricsVigarano W
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+6.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.50
124.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
126.17
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
2.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Spezia W
W · 38-70L · 70-51W · 70-63W · 77-36W · 94-51
Vigarano W
L · 58-75L · 58-61L · 74-67W · 87-70L · 76-62
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.17 | Vigarano W | 56 : 88 | Spezia W |
| 2023.01.09 | Spezia W | 79 : 61 | Vigarano W |
| 2022.03.20 | Vigarano W | 72 : 63 | Spezia W |
| 2021.11.29 | Spezia W | 80 : 59 | Vigarano W |