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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A2 Women - South Italy · 13
Matelica WHOME · -
64 : 682023.01.08 · 종료
Savona WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME67.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY32.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 67.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +67.8%
VALUE EDGE+67.8%
FAIR ODDS1.47
GRADEA
Matelica WAnalysis MetricsSavona W
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-5.33 Point MarginHigher is better -7.25
129.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 120.42
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
67.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
32.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Matelica W
W · 49-74W · 63-47W · 84-85W · 82-58W · 43-53
Savona W
L · 70-63W · 62-57L · 70-48W · 76-62L · 83-80

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.04.17Savona W68 : 55Matelica W
2023.01.08Matelica W64 : 68Savona W
2022.02.20Matelica W64 : 49Savona W
2021.12.09Savona W68 : 56Matelica W