Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Serie A2 Women - South Italy · 12

Umbertide WHOME · -

49 : 742022.12.22 · 종료

Matelica WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME58.0%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY42.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 53.3% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +58.0%

VALUE EDGE+58.0%

FAIR ODDS1.73

GRADEA

Umbertide WAnalysis MetricsMatelica W

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

-4.25 Point MarginHigher is better -5.33

127.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 129.00

33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%

4.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.7 / 15

Prediction separation6.8 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

58.0%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

42.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Umbertide W

W · 58-61W · 0-20L · 56-59W · 65-62W · 62-65

Matelica W

W · 63-47W · 84-85W · 82-58W · 43-53L · 69-83

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.04.06	Matelica W	57 : 51	Umbertide W
2022.12.22	Umbertide W	49 : 74	Matelica W
2022.04.04	Umbertide W	69 : 67	Matelica W
2021.12.12	Matelica W	49 : 56	Umbertide W