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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A2 Women - South Italy · 11
Firenze WHOME · -
83 : 612022.12.19 · 종료
Roma-Nord WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME77.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY22.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 77.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +77.6%
VALUE EDGE+77.6%
FAIR ODDS1.29
GRADEA
Firenze WAnalysis MetricsRoma-Nord W
75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
+6.58 Point MarginHigher is better -7.08
125.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 109.42
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
77.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
22.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Firenze W
L · 60-56W · 61-50W · 69-83W · 57-83W · 71-68
Roma-Nord W
W · 74-67L · 82-58L · 53-68L · 94-51W · 67-48

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.04.02Roma-Nord W39 : 72Firenze W
2022.12.19Firenze W83 : 61Roma-Nord W