Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Serie A2 Women - South Italy · 11

Vigarano WHOME · -

58 : 612022.12.18 · 종료

Umbertide WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME48.9%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY51.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK AWAY 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +51.1%

VALUE EDGE+51.1%

FAIR ODDS1.96

GRADEA

Vigarano WAnalysis MetricsUmbertide W

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

-5.50 Point MarginHigher is better -4.25

126.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 127.92

50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement9.4 / 15

Prediction separation0.9 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

48.9%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

51.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Vigarano W

L · 74-67W · 87-70L · 76-62L · 68-93L · 78-57

Umbertide W

W · 0-20L · 56-59W · 65-62W · 62-65L · 58-44

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.04.03	Umbertide W	78 : 72	Vigarano W
2022.12.18	Vigarano W	58 : 61	Umbertide W
2022.03.10	Vigarano W	66 : 56	Umbertide W
2021.10.11	Umbertide W	80 : 62	Vigarano W
2015.03.02	Umbertide W	78 : 68	Vigarano W
2014.11.17	Vigarano W	50 : 63	Umbertide W