Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Serie A2 Women - South
Italy · 11

Matelica WHOME · -
63 : 472022.12.18 · 종료
Cagliari WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME78.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY21.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+78.1%
VALUE EDGE+78.1%
FAIR ODDS1.28
GRADEA
Matelica WAnalysis MetricsCagliari W
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-5.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.25
129.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
126.25
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
6.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Matelica W
W · 84-85W · 82-58W · 43-53L · 69-83W · 53-62
Cagliari W
L · 44-68L · 77-36L · 61-50W · 61-56L · 67-48
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.01 | Cagliari W | 58 : 69 | Matelica W |
| 2022.12.18 | Matelica W | 63 : 47 | Cagliari W |
| 2022.01.23 | Matelica W | 60 : 55 | Cagliari W |
| 2021.10.09 | Cagliari W | 20 : 0 | Matelica W |