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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A2 Women - South Italy · 10
Roma-Nord WHOME · -
74 : 672022.12.11 · 종료
Vigarano WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME58.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY41.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK HOME 53.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +58.4%
VALUE EDGE+58.4%
FAIR ODDS1.71
GRADEB
Roma-Nord WAnalysis MetricsVigarano W
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-7.08 Point MarginHigher is better -5.50
109.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 126.17
40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.8 / 15
Prediction separation7.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
58.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
41.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Roma-Nord W
L · 82-58L · 53-68L · 94-51W · 67-48W · 59-37
Vigarano W
W · 87-70L · 76-62L · 68-93L · 78-57L · 59-68

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.04.30Roma-Nord W59 : 46Vigarano W
2023.04.26Vigarano W68 : 72Roma-Nord W
2023.04.23Roma-Nord W58 : 64Vigarano W
2023.03.26Vigarano W59 : 56Roma-Nord W
2022.12.11Roma-Nord W74 : 67Vigarano W