Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Serie A2 Women - South
Italy · 7

Matelica WHOME · -
69 : 832022.11.20 · 종료
Firenze WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME62.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY37.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+62.4%
VALUE EDGE+62.4%
FAIR ODDS1.60
GRADEA
Matelica WAnalysis MetricsFirenze W
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
-5.33
Point MarginHigher is better
+6.58
129.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
125.92
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
83.3%
6.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.3 / 15
Prediction separation10.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Matelica W
W · 53-62L · 71-75L · 75-49W · 82-66L · 72-59
Firenze W
W · 57-83W · 71-68L · 70-64W · 71-67L · 62-61
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.02.27 | Firenze W | 73 : 62 | Matelica W |
| 2022.11.20 | Matelica W | 69 : 83 | Firenze W |
| 2022.04.10 | Matelica W | 77 : 67 | Firenze W |
| 2021.12.20 | Firenze W | 72 : 45 | Matelica W |