Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Serie A2 Women - South
Italy · 5

Spezia WHOME · -
58 : 442022.11.07 · 종료
Umbertide WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME70.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY29.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+70.3%
VALUE EDGE+70.3%
FAIR ODDS1.42
GRADEA
Spezia WAnalysis MetricsUmbertide W
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+6.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.25
124.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
127.92
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
8.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Spezia W
L · 68-55W · 63-49W · 68-63L · 55-53L · 88-78
Umbertide W
L · 59-65L · 69-61W · 72-54W · 41-65L · 59-66
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.03.23 | Umbertide W | 67 : 72 | Spezia W |
| 2022.11.07 | Spezia W | 58 : 44 | Umbertide W |
| 2022.02.21 | Spezia W | 66 : 54 | Umbertide W |
| 2021.11.08 | Umbertide W | 82 : 79 | Spezia W |