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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A2 Women - South Italy · 4
Umbertide WHOME · -
59 : 652022.10.31 · 종료
Roma-Nord WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME84.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY15.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 84.2% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +84.7%
VALUE EDGE+84.7%
FAIR ODDS1.18
GRADEB
Umbertide WAnalysis MetricsRoma-Nord W
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-4.25 Point MarginHigher is better -7.08
127.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 109.42
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
84.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
15.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Umbertide W
L · 69-61W · 72-54W · 41-65L · 59-66L · 65-62
Roma-Nord W
L · 57-59L · 85-65L · 57-77

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.02.05Roma-Nord W67 : 56Umbertide W
2022.10.31Umbertide W59 : 65Roma-Nord W