Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Serie A2 Women - South Italy · 3

Matelica WHOME · -

82 : 662022.10.23 · 종료

Vigarano WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME61.1%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY38.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 57.9% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +61.1%

VALUE EDGE+61.1%

FAIR ODDS1.64

GRADEA

Matelica WAnalysis MetricsVigarano W

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

-5.33 Point MarginHigher is better -5.50

129.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 126.17

50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%

7.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.4 / 15

Prediction separation9.5 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

61.1%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

38.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Matelica W

L · 72-59W · 55-53L · 64-66W · 57-79W · 77-67

Vigarano W

W · 69-44L · 80-72L · 58-72L · 65-49W · 82-57

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.01.29	Vigarano W	72 : 68	Matelica W
2022.10.23	Matelica W	82 : 66	Vigarano W
2022.03.13	Matelica W	73 : 76	Vigarano W
2021.11.21	Vigarano W	61 : 54	Matelica W