Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Serie A2 Women - South
Italy · 2
Vigarano WHOME · -
69 : 442022.10.16 · 종료
Cagliari WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME65.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY34.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+65.5%
VALUE EDGE+65.5%
FAIR ODDS1.53
GRADEA
Vigarano WAnalysis MetricsCagliari W
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-5.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.25
126.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
126.25
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
6.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.3 / 15
Prediction separation13.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Vigarano W
L · 80-72L · 58-72L · 65-49W · 82-57W · 72-64
Cagliari W
L · 41-65L · 43-63L · 49-46W · 60-54L · 58-75
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.05.13 | Vigarano W | 68 : 63 | Cagliari W |
| 2023.05.10 | Cagliari W | 78 : 67 | Vigarano W |
| 2023.05.06 | Vigarano W | 69 : 56 | Cagliari W |
| 2023.01.22 | Cagliari W | 67 : 57 | Vigarano W |
| 2022.10.16 | Vigarano W | 69 : 44 | Cagliari W |
| 2022.02.20 | Cagliari W | 53 : 48 | Vigarano W |
| 2021.11.07 | Vigarano W | 55 : 62 | Cagliari W |
| 2015.03.29 | Vigarano W | 79 : 81 | Cagliari W |
| 2014.12.21 | Cagliari W | 72 : 92 | Vigarano W |