Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Serie A2 Women - South
Italy · 1

Matelica WHOME · -
55 : 532022.10.09 · 종료
Spezia WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME40.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY59.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 54.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+59.1%
VALUE EDGE+59.1%
FAIR ODDS1.69
GRADEA
Matelica WAnalysis MetricsSpezia W
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-5.33
Point MarginHigher is better
+6.83
129.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
124.67
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
83.3%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.1 / 15
Prediction separation7.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Matelica W
L · 64-66W · 57-79W · 77-67L · 69-67L · 54-49
Spezia W
L · 88-78L · 75-77W · 52-82W · 62-61W · 58-80
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.01.15 | Spezia W | 58 : 69 | Matelica W |
| 2022.10.09 | Matelica W | 55 : 53 | Spezia W |
| 2022.03.28 | Spezia W | 54 : 49 | Matelica W |
| 2021.12.05 | Matelica W | 53 : 59 | Spezia W |