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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A2 Women - South Italy · 1
Matelica WHOME · -
55 : 532022.10.09 · 종료
Spezia WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME40.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY59.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK AWAY 54.0% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +59.1%
VALUE EDGE+59.1%
FAIR ODDS1.69
GRADEA
Matelica WAnalysis MetricsSpezia W
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
-5.33 Point MarginHigher is better +6.83
129.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 124.67
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 83.3%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.1 / 15
Prediction separation7.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
40.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
59.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Matelica W
L · 64-66W · 57-79W · 77-67L · 69-67L · 54-49
Spezia W
L · 88-78L · 75-77W · 52-82W · 62-61W · 58-80

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.01.15Spezia W58 : 69Matelica W
2022.10.09Matelica W55 : 53Spezia W
2022.03.28Spezia W54 : 49Matelica W
2021.12.05Matelica W53 : 59Spezia W