Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Serie A2 Women - North
Italy · Serie A2 Women - North - Semi-finals
Itas Alperia Bolzano WHOME · -
76 : 542022.05.15 · 종료
Treviso WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME56.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY43.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 54.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+56.3%
VALUE EDGE+56.3%
FAIR ODDS1.78
GRADEA
Itas Alperia Bolzano WAnalysis MetricsTreviso W
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-2.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-9.25
123.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
128.42
42.9%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
14.3%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.8 / 15
Prediction separation5.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Itas Alperia Bolzano W
L · 70-58W · 77-43L · 55-70L · 84-57L · 53-66
Treviso W
W · 70-58L · 77-43W · 73-79W · 66-51W · 59-64
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.02 | Itas Alperia Bolzano W | 58 : 66 | Treviso W |
| 2022.12.18 | Treviso W | 57 : 42 | Itas Alperia Bolzano W |
| 2022.05.15 | Itas Alperia Bolzano W | 76 : 54 | Treviso W |
| 2022.05.12 | Treviso W | 70 : 58 | Itas Alperia Bolzano W |
| 2022.05.08 | Itas Alperia Bolzano W | 77 : 43 | Treviso W |
| 2022.03.24 | Itas Alperia Bolzano W | 61 : 57 | Treviso W |
| 2021.10.17 | Treviso W | 51 : 68 | Itas Alperia Bolzano W |