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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A2 Women - North Italy · Serie A2 Women - North - Semi-finals
Itas Alperia Bolzano WHOME · -
77 : 432022.05.08 · 종료
Treviso WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME49.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY50.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +50.4%
VALUE EDGE+50.4%
FAIR ODDS1.99
GRADEA
Itas Alperia Bolzano WAnalysis MetricsTreviso W
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
-2.08 Point MarginHigher is better -9.25
123.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 128.42
42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 14.3%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.5 / 15
Prediction separation0.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
49.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
50.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Itas Alperia Bolzano W
L · 55-70L · 84-57L · 53-66W · 64-68L · 53-43
Treviso W
W · 73-79W · 66-51W · 59-64L · 83-49L · 54-59

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.04.02Itas Alperia Bolzano W58 : 66Treviso W
2022.12.18Treviso W57 : 42Itas Alperia Bolzano W
2022.05.15Itas Alperia Bolzano W76 : 54Treviso W
2022.05.12Treviso W70 : 58Itas Alperia Bolzano W
2022.05.08Itas Alperia Bolzano W77 : 43Treviso W
2022.03.24Itas Alperia Bolzano W61 : 57Treviso W
2021.10.17Treviso W51 : 68Itas Alperia Bolzano W