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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A2 Women - North Italy · Serie A2 Women - North - Quarter-finals
Libertas Udine WHOME · -
70 : 582022.05.08 · 종료
Ponzano WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME79.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY20.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 77.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +79.3%
VALUE EDGE+79.3%
FAIR ODDS1.26
GRADEA
Libertas Udine WAnalysis MetricsPonzano W
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
+3.42 Point MarginHigher is better +1.08
119.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 112.08
85.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
2.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
79.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
20.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Libertas Udine W
W · 60-71W · 80-84W · 57-60W · 84-57W · 69-74
Ponzano W
L · 60-71L · 73-79L · 76-44W · 78-63W · 78-61

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.04.06Libertas Udine W54 : 46Ponzano W
2022.12.22Ponzano W55 : 70Libertas Udine W
2022.05.08Libertas Udine W70 : 58Ponzano W
2022.05.05Ponzano W60 : 71Libertas Udine W
2022.02.13Ponzano W44 : 79Libertas Udine W
2021.10.31Libertas Udine W53 : 49Ponzano W