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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A2 Women - North Italy · Serie A2 Women - North - Quarter-finals
Sanga Milano WHOME · -
63 : 522022.05.01 · 종료
Alpo VillaFranca WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME59.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY40.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK HOME 54.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +59.1%
VALUE EDGE+59.1%
FAIR ODDS1.69
GRADEA
Sanga Milano WAnalysis MetricsAlpo VillaFranca W
83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%
+8.50 Point MarginHigher is better -12.50
126.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 144.83
71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
6.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.1 / 15
Prediction separation7.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
59.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
40.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Sanga Milano W
L · 63-57W · 76-44W · 47-60L · 61-70W · 52-60
Alpo VillaFranca W
L · 80-84W · 47-79W · 53-66L · 64-69W · 43-63

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.03.26Sanga Milano W55 : 63Alpo VillaFranca W
2022.12.11Alpo VillaFranca W59 : 71Sanga Milano W
2022.05.05Alpo VillaFranca W60 : 73Sanga Milano W
2022.05.01Sanga Milano W63 : 52Alpo VillaFranca W
2022.02.20Alpo VillaFranca W53 : 65Sanga Milano W