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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Serie A2 Women - North Italy · 26
Itas Alperia Bolzano WHOME · -
55 : 702022.04.24 · 종료
Valbruna Bolzano WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME50.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY49.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +50.2%
VALUE EDGE+50.2%
FAIR ODDS1.99
GRADEA
Itas Alperia Bolzano WAnalysis MetricsValbruna Bolzano W
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 0.0%
-2.08 Point MarginHigher is better -26.25
123.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 122.25
42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
7.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.1 / 15
Prediction separation0.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
50.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
49.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Itas Alperia Bolzano W
L · 84-57L · 53-66W · 64-68L · 53-43L · 52-60
Valbruna Bolzano W
L · 52-75W · 47-63L · 59-63W · 68-85L · 56-61

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.04.06Valbruna Bolzano W51 : 80Itas Alperia Bolzano W
2022.12.22Itas Alperia Bolzano W74 : 49Valbruna Bolzano W
2022.04.24Itas Alperia Bolzano W55 : 70Valbruna Bolzano W
2022.03.03Valbruna Bolzano W53 : 72Itas Alperia Bolzano W